Wednesday 20th of August 2008

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Political Promises

June 30, 2008 at 8:05 pm

Political promises are generally empty, meaningless gestures made by candidates when they are trolling for votes. “I will listen to all the people,” they say. Or, “I will protect the interests of all ‘the people’ when I am in office.”

Do you believe statements like these when politicians make them? Or, do you shrug them off with the thought in the back of your mind that it’s just more of the political hype that goes with running for office, not really expecting anything except more self-serving actions once candidates are in office?

Thirty years ago California state Senator H.L. (Bill) Richardson wrote an interesting and insightful book with the intriguing title, “What makes you think we read the bills?” - in which he offers a penetrating analysis of the fact that the so-called majority does not really elect public officials and making the point that politicians are actually obligated to a very small percentage of the voters, and it is this minority they listen to.

Using the example of a district with a population of 525,000, he shows how the candidate who won was elected with a plurality of just 16,000 voters.

Senator Richardson’s observation is something I believe most people instinctively know: that once elected, notwithstanding all their talk about “listening to the people,” politicians do what they want, not what their so-called constituents, “the people,” may say. Politicians generally don’t really listen to anyone except the limited number of supporters who are directly involved in helping them get elected or who help them stay in office.

Some selected quotes from Senator Richardson’s book outline his conclusions:

  • “In a democracy we ‘know’ the majority elects. Right? Wrong! Majorities rarely, if ever, elect.” (pg. 112)
  • “In a democracy, most politicians are inevitably influenced by public opinion. Right? Wrong again.” (pg. 112) Note: We have seen some notable exceptions to this rule in recent years, specifically when large numbers of savvy Internet users overwhelm legislators with faxes, email messages and telephone calls about certain hot button issues, such as immigration, which can bring sufficient pressure to bear on office holders to induce them to change a particular position. The Internet, of course, was not available at the time Senator Richardson was in office or wrote his book.
  • “…if we waited for majorities to elect, most of our legislative chambers would be empty. Obviously, only those who register can vote (or so we are told). This eliminates a sizable portion of the eligible voters at the very start. In fact, the very term ‘eligible’ voter tells us that there are those who are ineligible to vote.” (pg.112)
  • “Since the contest almost inevitably comes down to Democrat versus Republican, those who register as ‘independent’ or who ‘decline to state’ have little nothing to say in the primary elections. To have a meaningful voice, these independent and uncommitted voters must then choose between the two candidates fielded by the very political parties they have chosen not to join.” (pg.113)
  • Commenting on the fact that less than fifty percent of the registered voters often turn out in a primary election Senator Richardson notes, “A vote delivers the power of the state into the hands of the elected official. A non vote simply transfers the decision as to who shall hold this power into the hands of those who do vote…At this point, another factor comes into play – gerrymandering. Most political district lines are established by the party in power…A candidate with little chance of victory has even a smaller chance of attracting the necessary financial support. Money creates winners and winners attract money.” (pg.113)
  • “Since the majority-party primary is usually crowded with a number of hopefuls, the primary winner is quite often nominated with a plurality of twenty-five percent, or even less. I know of one district that had a population of 525,000 persons. About 400,000 could have qualified to vote, but only 225,000 bothered to register. In the primary slightly more than fifty percent of those registered turned out at the polls to vote – about 120,000 people altogether. The minority party garnered 50,000 votes of that total, split between two lackluster candidates. The majority party had eight candidates, of whom five were strong contenders. The remaining 70,000 votes were split among these eight candidates, and the victor won with 16,000. In the general election this candidate easily defeated the minority-party nominee.” (pg.114)

Senator Richardson’s book is still available - at Amazon.com. It’s an interesting and entertaining insight into the political process and confirms the fact that things really haven’t changed all that much in the 30 years since he was in office.

© 2008 Harris R. Sherline, All Rights Reserved

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